Predict the
Unpredictable
AI-powered forecasting for commodities. We simulate black swans, supply shocks, and geopolitical disruptions before they unfold.
Why Traditional Models Fail
Commodity markets don't move in straight lines. Most forecasting tools are trained on stable, historical data, missing the rare, volatile events that matter most in the LME Base Metals sector.
Assumes markets follow a predictable bell curve, systematically ignoring extreme events and outliers.
Specifically designed to account for "Black Swans" — high impact, low probability events that drive market shifts.
Synthetic Data
Engine
Our patented AI technology generates synthetic data to simulate rare events, stress scenarios, and market disruptions that historical data alone cannot predict.
Stress Scenarios
Simulate extreme market conditions to test resilience against volatility.
Rare Events
Generate synthetic data for events that haven't happened yet but could.
Patented Core
Powered by proprietary algorithms specifically designed for chaos.
Proven Performance
Consistently delivering higher accuracy where others fall short, especially on edge cases and volatile markets.
Aluminum Price Forecast
Ferrum predicted LME aluminum prices 3 months ahead with just 6.6% MAPE — beating baselines and rivaling complex models.
- Multi-source data integration (macro, production)
- Leverages Google/Yahoo search trends as features
- Robust to market regime shifts and volatility
Conquer the future of forecasting
We're offering a free 6-8 week pilot to showcase Ferrum's impact. Fast, secure, and tailored to your priorities.